Tennis · W100 Evansville · 23/07, 18:30
Prediction: Yuki Naito vs Fiona Crawley
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuki Naito
Fiona Crawley
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Yuki Naito
7-3 (W-L)
Fiona Crawley
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuki Naito 1498 · Fiona Crawley 1524
| Yuki Naito | Fiona Crawley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Yuki Naito makes many double faults (9.3/match).
- Note: Fiona Crawley makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Yuki Naito | Fiona Crawley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11 | 11.7-11.2 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 1 |
| Double faults | 9.3 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 54.2% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuki Naito
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Madison Brengle W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/07 | BoYoung Jeong W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Sara Saito W75 Granby |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Audrey Spencer W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Aishi Das W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Mio Mushika W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Thasaporn Naklo W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ayano Shimizu W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Valentina Ryser W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Fiona Crawley
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Himeno Sakatsume W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Alina Korneeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Julia Riera Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Himeno Sakatsume Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 16/04 | Daria Egorova W35 Zephyrhills · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/04 | Victoria Hu W35 Zephyrhills · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/02 | Martyna Kubka W75 Porto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/02 | Angela Fita Boluda W75 Porto |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/02 | Deborah Chiesa W75 Porto |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/02 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuki Naito vs Fiona Crawley?
Our model gives 56% to Fiona Crawley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.