Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 23/07, 10:00
Prediction: Vincent Dullinger vs Raphael Perot
Prediction summary
Winner
Vincent Dullinger
Raphael Perot
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Vincent Dullinger
6-4 (W-L)
Raphael Perot
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vincent Dullinger 1545 · Raphael Perot 1505
| Vincent Dullinger | Raphael Perot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vincent Dullinger (rating 1545 vs 1505).
Statistics
| Vincent Dullinger | Raphael Perot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.1 | 10.4-8.9 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 37.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vincent Dullinger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Alec Beckley M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 15/07 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Nova Gorica |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Nik Mikovic M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/06 | Lucio Ratti M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Niccolo Baroni M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Manvydas Balciunas M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Henry Bernet M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-9 | L |
| 10/06 | Patrik Munkhammar M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Raphael Perot
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Emilien Demanet M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Daniel Jade Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/06 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Noah Karma Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/05 | David Eichenseher Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vincent Dullinger vs Raphael Perot?
Our model gives 65% to Raphael Perot, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.