Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 23/07, 10:00
Prediction: Max Houkes vs Imanol Lopez Morillo
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Houkes
Imanol Lopez Morillo
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Max Houkes
6-4 (W-L)
Imanol Lopez Morillo
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Max Houkes
1–0
Imanol Lopez Morillo
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Houkes 1487 · Imanol Lopez Morillo 1510
| Max Houkes | Imanol Lopez Morillo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Max Houkes 1–0 Imanol Lopez Morillo (1).
Statistics
| Max Houkes | Imanol Lopez Morillo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10 | 10.9-9.4 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 31.1% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Max Houkes 1 – 0 Imanol Lopez Morillo (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Max Houkes 1–0 Imanol Lopez Morillo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/20 ITF M15 Melilla | 2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Houkes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Stefan Popovic M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Laslo Djere Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Martin Damm ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 01/06 | Emilio Nava Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Marco Cecchinato French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Tunis · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Imanol Lopez Morillo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Tim Handel M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Linus Lagerbohm M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Lorenzo Balducci M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Marcel Kamrowski M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Daniel Tazabekov M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Calvin Mueller M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Maximilian Borisov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Olle Wallin Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Houkes vs Imanol Lopez Morillo?
Our model gives 65% to Max Houkes, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.