Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 01/08, 09:30
Prediction: Gabriele Maria Noce vs Veljko Krstic
Team pages: Gabriele Maria Noce · Veljko Krstic
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Maria Noce
Veljko Krstic
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Maria Noce
5-5 (W-L)
Veljko Krstic
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Maria Noce 1527 · Veljko Krstic 1599
| Gabriele Maria Noce | Veljko Krstic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Veljko Krstic (rating 1527 vs 1599).
Statistics
| Gabriele Maria Noce | Veljko Krstic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11 | 12.8-7.3 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 67.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Maria Noce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Pietro Pampanin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 29/07 | Marko Nikolic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Pierre Delage M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Pietro Marino M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Filippo Alfano M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Jakub Nicod M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Veljko Krstic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Alessandro Bellifemine M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Samuil Chestovaliev M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Walid Ahouda M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Oskar Jansson UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Gabriel Alejandro Hidalgo UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Arsene Pougault UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Cyrus Mahjoob UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Samuel Rovai UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Maria Noce vs Veljko Krstic?
Our model gives 55% to Veljko Krstic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.