Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 01/08, 11:00
Prediction: Niksa Arsic vs Andrea De Marchi
Team pages: Niksa Arsic · Andrea De Marchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Niksa Arsic
Andrea De Marchi
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Niksa Arsic
7-3 (W-L)
Andrea De Marchi
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niksa Arsic 1588 · Andrea De Marchi 1538
| Niksa Arsic | Andrea De Marchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niksa Arsic (rating 1588 vs 1538).
Statistics
| Niksa Arsic | Andrea De Marchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8.9 | 12.4-9.2 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 50% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niksa Arsic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Lorenzo Comino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Leon Peranovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Boris Butulija M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Edoardo Zanada M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Nicolas Ifi UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Matthew Upton UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Ognjen Milic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Pedro Vives Marcos M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Aleksa Oparnica M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Andrea De Marchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Marko Maksimovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Savva Rybkin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Lorenzo Comino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Leonardo Angeloni M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Nikola Jovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/07 | Jorge Plans M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niksa Arsic vs Andrea De Marchi?
Our model gives 55% to Andrea De Marchi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.