Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 23/07, 11:00

Prediction: Mayar Sherif vs Elsa Jacquemot

Prediction summary
Winner
73% 27%
Mayar Sherif Elsa Jacquemot
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Mayar Sherif 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLWWWWL
Elsa Jacquemot 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLWLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mayar Sherif 1638 · Elsa Jacquemot 1472
Mayar SherifElsa Jacquemot
Our model72%28%
Market74%26%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mayar Sherif (rating 1638 vs 1472).
  • Mayar Sherif is in better form: 100% recent wins.
  • Note: Elsa Jacquemot makes many double faults (5.1/match).

Statistics

Mayar SherifElsa Jacquemot
Win %100%30%
Win % · Clay 100% (10) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)2-0.30.8-1.5
Games (G-P)13.9-9.39.1-12
Aces0.63.4
Double faults1.65.1
1st serve %60.2%57.3%
Break %55%43.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mayar Sherif

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Simona Waltert
WTA Hamburg · Clay
2-1 18-17 W
18/07 Oleksandra Oliynykova
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
17/07 Yulia Putintseva
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-1 16-14 W
16/07 Kaitlin Quevedo
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
14/07 Dalma Galfi
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
12/07 Jeline Vandromme
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-1 17-17 W
11/07 Leolia Jeanjean
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
10/07 Alicia Herrero Linana
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
08/07 Amandine Hesse
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
07/07 Yasmine Kabbaj
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Elsa Jacquemot

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Tessa Johanna Brockmann
WTA Hamburg · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
15/07 Clara Burel
WTA Iasi · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
15/07 Ilinca D Amariei
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
07/07 Aurora Zantedeschi
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
29/06 Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 6-13 L
21/06 Zeynep Sonmez
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
1-2 10-14 L
20/06 Mimi Xu
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
2-1 17-12 W
13/06 Sofia Kenin
WTA Nottingham · Grass
0-2 8-12 L
07/06 Hanyu Guo
WTA Queens · Grass
1-2 12-16 L
28/05 Aryna Sabalenka
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 7-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mayar Sherif vs Elsa Jacquemot?

Our model gives 73% to Mayar Sherif, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.