Tennis · W100 Evansville · 22/07, 21:30
Prediction: Sakura Hosogi vs Darja Vidmanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Sakura Hosogi
Darja Vidmanova
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sakura Hosogi
7-3 (W-L)
Darja Vidmanova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sakura Hosogi 1599 · Darja Vidmanova 1527
| Sakura Hosogi | Darja Vidmanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sakura Hosogi (rating 1599 vs 1527).
Statistics
| Sakura Hosogi | Darja Vidmanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.7 | 13.1-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sakura Hosogi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Ena Koike W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Sara Saito W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Ena Koike W75 Granby |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Alexandra Vagramov W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Hayu Kinoshita W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Julieta Pareja W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 11/07 | Sara Daavettila W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Ana Grubor W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Thara Gowda W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Capucine Jauffret W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Darja Vidmanova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Greet Minnen WTA Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Carolyn Ansari WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Ayla Aksu WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Yeon Woo Ku WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Jil Teichmann WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Elena Micic WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Angelina Voloshchuk WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sakura Hosogi vs Darja Vidmanova?
Our model gives 59% to Darja Vidmanova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.