Tennis · W100 Evansville · 22/07, 18:30
Prediction: Emerson Jones vs Ayana Akli
Prediction summary
Winner
Emerson Jones
Ayana Akli
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Emerson Jones
6-4 (W-L)
Ayana Akli
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emerson Jones 1496 · Ayana Akli 1536
| Emerson Jones | Ayana Akli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ayana Akli (rating 1496 vs 1536).
- Note: Emerson Jones makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Emerson Jones | Ayana Akli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-12.8 | 11.7-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 53% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emerson Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Linda Fruhvirtova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Dalma Galfi WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 02/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/05 | Iga Swiatek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Taylah Preston W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 30/04 | Ayano Shimizu W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/04 | Gabriela Knutson W100 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 21/04 | Ena Koike W100 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Ayana Akli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Malaika Rapolu W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Ena Koike W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Amelia Honer W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-10 | W |
| 27/06 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Rome |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Ena Koike W35 Rome |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Tatum Evans W35 Rome |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Lily Fairclough W35 Rome |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Diletta Cherubini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 27/05 | Nadia Podoroska W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emerson Jones vs Ayana Akli?
Our model gives 59% to Emerson Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.