Tennis · W100 Evansville · 22/07, 21:30
Prediction: Yuki Naito vs Madison Brengle
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuki Naito
Madison Brengle
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Yuki Naito
6-4 (W-L)
Madison Brengle
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuki Naito 1498 · Madison Brengle 1534
| Yuki Naito | Madison Brengle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Yuki Naito makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Yuki Naito | Madison Brengle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.1 | 10.5-9.1 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 7.5 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 54.3% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuki Naito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | BoYoung Jeong W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Sara Saito W75 Granby |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Audrey Spencer W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Aishi Das W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Mio Mushika W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Thasaporn Naklo W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ayano Shimizu W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Valentina Ryser W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/05 | Momoko Kobori W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Madison Brengle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Greet Minnen WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Kayla Cross WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Ana Sofia Sanchez WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Tatum Evans W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Maya Iyengar W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Amelia Honer W35 Rome |
0-1 | 5-6 | L |
| 25/06 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova W35 Rome |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Nadia Elle Valdez W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Lea Ma W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuki Naito vs Madison Brengle?
Our model gives 60% to Madison Brengle, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.