Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 22/07, 21:00
Prediction: Mark Lajal vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Prediction summary
Winner
Mark Lajal
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Estimated games
25.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mark Lajal
4-6 (W-L)
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mark Lajal
0–1
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mark Lajal 1507 · Pablo Llamas Ruiz 1516
| Mark Lajal | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mark Lajal 0–1 Pablo Llamas Ruiz (1).
- Note: Mark Lajal makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Mark Lajal | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 40% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-13.8 | 12.4-12.9 |
| Aces | 5 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 22.2% | 31.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.5
H2H · Mark Lajal 0 – 1 Pablo Llamas Ruiz (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mark Lajal 0–1 Pablo Llamas Ruiz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/23 Challenger Segovia | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mark Lajal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 19/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Luka Pavlovic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Arthur Gea Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Michael Zheng Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Zachary Svajda Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-26 | L |
| 24/06 | Pol Martin Tiffon Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Dan Added Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Daniel Merida Aguilar Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/05 | Thiago Agustin Tirante French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 16-25 | L |
| 22/05 | Vilius Gaubas French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mark Lajal vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
Our model gives 53% to Mark Lajal, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.