Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 22/07, 19:30
Prediction: Sabritt Dozier vs Alana Boyce
Prediction summary
Winner
Sabritt Dozier
Alana Boyce
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sabritt Dozier
8-2 (W-L)
Alana Boyce
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sabritt Dozier 1559 · Alana Boyce 1478
| Sabritt Dozier | Alana Boyce | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sabritt Dozier (rating 1559 vs 1478).
- Sabritt Dozier is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Alana Boyce makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Sabritt Dozier | Alana Boyce | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.6 | 10.1-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 53.5% | 61.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sabritt Dozier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Anna Arkadianou UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Raegan Farm UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 04/07 | Emily Deming UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/07 | Emily Meng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 02/07 | Lily Fairclough UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Eduarda Piai UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 03/08 | Tara Gorinsek UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/08 | Ulyana Romanova UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Kirsten Woods UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/08 | Natalia Perez UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
Alana Boyce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Gabriella Goyins UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Shona Nakano UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Ava Esposito Cogan UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Ariana Anazagasty-Pursoo UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/08 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/08 | Kailey Evans UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Ava Rodriguez ITF W15 Huntsville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Zoe Hammond UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Hailey Murphy UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/08 | Mai Nguyen UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sabritt Dozier vs Alana Boyce?
Our model gives 54% to Alana Boyce, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.