Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 23/07, 10:00
Prediction: David Eichenseher vs Yannik Kelm
Prediction summary
Winner
David Eichenseher
Yannik Kelm
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
David Eichenseher
4-6 (W-L)
Yannik Kelm
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · David Eichenseher 1498 · Yannik Kelm 1610
| David Eichenseher | Yannik Kelm | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yannik Kelm (rating 1498 vs 1610).
- Yannik Kelm is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| David Eichenseher | Yannik Kelm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.3 | 12.4-7.6 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 56.7% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
David Eichenseher
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Marlon Vankan M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Gabriele Pennaforti M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | David Cristian Carteputreda M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Cesar Stefan Bentzel M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Guillem Campos Perez M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/05 | Raphael Perot Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Bor Artnak M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 16/05 | Aaron Funk M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Yannik Kelm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | John Hallquist Lithen M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Stijn Paardekooper M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Daniel Verbeek M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Dax Donders M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Jannik Opitz M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Mika Petkovic M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Emilien Demanet M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Niklas Schell M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Lenn Luemkemann M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in David Eichenseher vs Yannik Kelm?
Our model gives 77% to Yannik Kelm, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.