Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 22/07, 17:00
Prediction: Michael Zheng vs Alan Magadan
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Zheng
Alan Magadan
Estimated games
27.2
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Zheng
5-5 (W-L)
Alan Magadan
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Zheng 1537 · Alan Magadan 1535
| Michael Zheng | Alan Magadan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Michael Zheng dominates on serve: 10 aces and 50.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Michael Zheng | Alan Magadan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 63% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.4 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.4-15 | 13.6-12.3 |
| Aces | 10 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 72.7% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Felix Auger Aliassime Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
| 01/07 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-18 | W |
| 29/06 | Cameron Norrie Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 31-25 | W |
| 25/06 | Colton Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Laslo Djere Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Henri Squire Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Mark Lajal Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 24/05 | Dino Prizmic French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 5-18 | L |
Alan Magadan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 19/07 | Owen Demuth Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/07 | Benjamin Thomas George Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Naoya Honda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Zheng vs Alan Magadan?
Our model gives 70% to Michael Zheng, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.