Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 23/07, 17:00
Prediction: Roger Pascual Ferra vs Andres Martin
Prediction summary
Winner
Roger Pascual Ferra
Andres Martin
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Roger Pascual Ferra
8-2 (W-L)
Andres Martin
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roger Pascual Ferra 1633 · Andres Martin 1514
| Roger Pascual Ferra | Andres Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roger Pascual Ferra (rating 1633 vs 1514).
- Roger Pascual Ferra is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Roger Pascual Ferra | Andres Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-6.7 | 13.2-12.7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 45% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roger Pascual Ferra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Mathys Picard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 27/06 | Charles Bertimon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Logan Zapp M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Rocco Piatti M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Andres Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 05/07 | Jason Jung Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Jeffrey John Wolf M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Luca Pow M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Matisse Farzam M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 05/06 | Adam Walton Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Blake Ellis Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/05 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roger Pascual Ferra vs Andres Martin?
Our model gives 51% to Roger Pascual Ferra, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.