Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 22/07, 19:30
Prediction: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton
Prediction summary
Winner
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Adam Walton
Estimated games
25.8
Recent form · 10 last
Thanasi Kokkinakis
7-3 (W-L)
Adam Walton
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thanasi Kokkinakis 1547 · Adam Walton 1560
| Thanasi Kokkinakis | Adam Walton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Thanasi Kokkinakis dominates on serve: 13 aces and 46% break avg.
Statistics
| Thanasi Kokkinakis | Adam Walton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (4) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.7-13.1 | 13.4-10.6 |
| Aces | 13 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 78.8% | 76.7% |
| Break % | 46% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Evan Zhu Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexander Bublik Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 23-28 | L |
| 16/06 | Jerome Kym Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Ammar Elamin Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/06 | Harold Mayot Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 08/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/05 | Terence Atmane French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 29-23 | W |
| 11/05 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 10/05 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/01 | Sebastian Korda ATP Adelaide · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Adam Walton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 11/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Dino Prizmic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Nick Kyrgios ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Antoine Ghibaudo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Federico Bondioli ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Walton?
Our model gives 51% to Adam Walton, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.