Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 22/07, 14:00
Prediction: Tamara Korpatsch vs Julia Stusek
Prediction summary
Winner
Tamara Korpatsch
Julia Stusek
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Tamara Korpatsch
3-7 (W-L)
Julia Stusek
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tamara Korpatsch 1476 · Julia Stusek 1556
| Tamara Korpatsch | Julia Stusek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julia Stusek (rating 1476 vs 1556).
- Julia Stusek is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Julia Stusek makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Tamara Korpatsch | Julia Stusek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-11.5 | 10.5-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 57.5% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tamara Korpatsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Linea Bajraliu WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Irina-Camelia Begu WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Mia Pohankova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Elina Svitolina French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Xinyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/05 | Sara Sorribes Tormo French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/05 | Alina Charaeva WTA Paris · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Julia Stusek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Victoria Pohle W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Chloe Paquet W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Berta Passola W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 20/06 | Adrienn Nagy W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Mara Guth W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Ginevra Montebruno W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Zoe Kaegi W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Iva Ivanova W35 Nice |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tamara Korpatsch vs Julia Stusek?
Our model gives 61% to Tamara Korpatsch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.