Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 22/07, 13:30
Prediction: Daniel Siniakov vs Lasse Poertner
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Siniakov
Lasse Poertner
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Siniakov
7-3 (W-L)
Lasse Poertner
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Siniakov 1541 · Lasse Poertner 1524
| Daniel Siniakov | Lasse Poertner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Daniel Siniakov makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Daniel Siniakov | Lasse Poertner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-11.1 | 11.6-8.9 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 75% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Siniakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Manuel Plunger M25 Kramsach |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | David Fix M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Calvin Mueller M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Michel Hopp M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Saba Purtseladze M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Oleksii Krutykh M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Florian Broska Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Lasse Poertner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Dominik Recek M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Vincent Marysko M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Niklas Guttau M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Kaspar Mathes M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Ioannis Xilas M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Mariano Dedura-Palomero M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Michel Hopp M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Julien Penzlin M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Julian Forer M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Nikolai Barsukov M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Siniakov vs Lasse Poertner?
Our model gives 63% to Daniel Siniakov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.