Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 22/07, 13:30
Prediction: Adrian Oetzbach vs Pieter De Lange
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrian Oetzbach
Pieter De Lange
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Oetzbach
7-3 (W-L)
Pieter De Lange
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrian Oetzbach 1591 · Pieter De Lange 1549
| Adrian Oetzbach | Pieter De Lange | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrian Oetzbach (rating 1591 vs 1549).
Statistics
| Adrian Oetzbach | Pieter De Lange | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.2 | 11.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrian Oetzbach
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Oleksii Krutykh M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Vincent Marysko M15 Uslar |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 17/07 | Yannic Nittmann M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Jonas Kucera M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Christopher Thies M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Matthew William Donald M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Daniel Siniakov M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Michael Bassem Sobhy M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Justin Schlageter M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Ryo Tabata M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Pieter De Lange
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Richard Antoni M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Michael Geerts Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Jakub Nicod M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Fons Van Sambeek M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Jakub Nicod M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 04/07 | Abel Forger M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Alexandre Aubriot M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 28/06 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrian Oetzbach vs Pieter De Lange?
Our model gives 53% to Adrian Oetzbach, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.