Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 22/07, 15:00
Prediction: Justin Schlageter vs Patrick Zahraj
Prediction summary
Winner
Justin Schlageter
Patrick Zahraj
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Justin Schlageter
5-5 (W-L)
Patrick Zahraj
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Justin Schlageter
1–0
Patrick Zahraj
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justin Schlageter 1476 · Patrick Zahraj 1417
| Justin Schlageter | Patrick Zahraj | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Justin Schlageter (rating 1476 vs 1417).
- Head-to-head: Justin Schlageter 1–0 Patrick Zahraj (1).
- Note: Patrick Zahraj makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Justin Schlageter | Patrick Zahraj | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-12.8 | 10.1-12.5 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.9% | 66% |
| Break % | 36.4% | 20.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
H2H · Justin Schlageter 1 – 0 Patrick Zahraj (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Justin Schlageter 1–0 Patrick Zahraj
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/26 M25 Klosters | 2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justin Schlageter
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Noah Schlagenhauf M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Johan Oscar Lien M15 Uslar |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Felix Einig M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Jonathan Mridha M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Matteo Covato M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Noah Karma M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 02/06 | Vincent Marysko M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 29/05 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Patrick Zahraj
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Federico Cina ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Henry Searle Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Justin Schlageter M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Giles Hussey Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 07/05 | Nemanja Malesevic M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Freddie Ridout M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 02/05 | Anton Matusevich M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Rhys Lawlor M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justin Schlageter vs Patrick Zahraj?
Our model gives 51% to Patrick Zahraj, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.