Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 22/07, 12:00

Prediction: Iannis Miletich vs Tomasz Berkieta

Prediction summary
Winner
32% 68%
Iannis Miletich Tomasz Berkieta
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Iannis Miletich 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWWWLLW
Tomasz Berkieta 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLLLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Iannis Miletich 1452 · Tomasz Berkieta 1520
Iannis MiletichTomasz Berkieta
Our model40%60%
Market25%75%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tomasz Berkieta (rating 1452 vs 1520).
  • Tomasz Berkieta is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Iannis MiletichTomasz Berkieta
Win %30%60%
Win % · Clay 17% (6) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1-1.41.2-1
Games (G-P)8.9-11.69.7-9.6
Aces23.4
Double faults3.93.2
1st serve %58.8%68.6%
Break %39.3%26.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Iannis Miletich

LWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Manvydas Balciunas
M25 Metzingen
2-0 13-8 W
15/07 Ruben Hartig
M15 Uslar
1-2 9-16 L
09/07 Dominik Recek
M25 Kassel
0-2 5-12 L
08/07 Kirill Kivattsev
M25 Kassel
2-0 13-9 W
02/07 Luka Talan Lopatic
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
1-2 11-16 L
01/07 Carles Cordoba
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
22/06 William Mirarchi
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
1-2 11-11 L
09/06 Lorenzo Beraldo
M15 Messina · ~Clay
1-2 10-13 L
02/06 Jay Clarke
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
0-2 0-12 L
26/05 Duje Markovina
M25 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Tomasz Berkieta

LWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/07 Oleksii Krutykh
M15 Uslar
0-2 5-12 L
17/07 Nikolai Barsukov
M15 Uslar
2-0 12-6 W
16/07 Liam Gavrielides
M15 Uslar
2-1 14-13 W
15/07 Vito Tonejc
M15 Uslar
2-0 14-12 W
08/07 Leyton Rivera
M15 Lodz
0-2 6-12 L
02/07 Luca Castagnola
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
01/07 Tobia Grandinetti
M15 Umag · ~Clay
2-1 13-11 W
24/06 Tommaso Compagnucci
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
23/06 Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
22/06 Aleksandar Tolev
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Iannis Miletich vs Tomasz Berkieta?

Our model gives 68% to Tomasz Berkieta, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.