Prediction: Madelief Hageman vs Lian Tran
Prediction summary
Winner
Madelief Hageman
Lian Tran
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Madelief Hageman
6-4 (W-L)
Lian Tran
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Madelief Hageman
1–2
Lian Tran
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Madelief Hageman 1527 · Lian Tran 1550
| Madelief Hageman | Lian Tran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Madelief Hageman 1–2 Lian Tran (3).
- Note: Lian Tran makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Madelief Hageman | Lian Tran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.5 | 10.7-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 50% | 54.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Madelief Hageman 1 – 2 Lian Tran (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Madelief Hageman 1–2 Lian Tran
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/26 W15 Alkmaar | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/07/24 W75 The Hague | 1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/06/23 W15 Alkmaar | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Madelief Hageman
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Cristina Elena Tiglea W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Emma Sophie Glaser W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Annemarie Lazar W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Jana Angelovska W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Jenny Lim W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Daniela Vismane W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Lian Tran W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Monika Wojcik W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Iva Ivanova W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 15/06 | Alexa Karatancheva W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Lian Tran
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Katerina Mandelikova W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Louanne Djafari W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Anastasia Abbagnato W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 14-17 | W |
| 01/07 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Carla Markus W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 26/06 | Dune Vaissaud W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Madelief Hageman W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Anna Ozerova W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Madelief Hageman vs Lian Tran?
Our model gives 55% to Lian Tran, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.