Prediction: Madelief Hageman vs Dayeon Back
Prediction summary
Winner
Madelief Hageman
Dayeon Back
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Madelief Hageman
6-4 (W-L)
Dayeon Back
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Madelief Hageman 1529 · Dayeon Back 1585
| Madelief Hageman | Dayeon Back | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dayeon Back (rating 1529 vs 1585).
- Dayeon Back is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Madelief Hageman | Dayeon Back | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.9 | 11.8-7.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 59.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Madelief Hageman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Lian Tran W50 Horb |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Cristina Elena Tiglea W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Emma Sophie Glaser W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Annemarie Lazar W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Jana Angelovska W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Jenny Lim W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Daniela Vismane W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Lian Tran W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Monika Wojcik W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Iva Ivanova W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
Dayeon Back
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Oana Georgeta Simion W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Sandra Samir W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Thasaporn Naklo W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Kisa Yoshioka W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Haruka Kaji W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Hiromi Abe W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Naho Sato W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Anchisa Chanta W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Madelief Hageman vs Dayeon Back?
Our model gives 70% to Dayeon Back, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.