Tennis · W50 Horb · 23/07, 10:00

Prediction: Lola Giza vs Xinxin Yao

Prediction summary
Winner
29% 71%
Lola Giza Xinxin Yao
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lola Giza 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLLWWLW
Xinxin Yao 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lola Giza 1466 · Xinxin Yao 1553
Lola GizaXinxin Yao
Our model38%62%
Market22%78%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xinxin Yao (rating 1466 vs 1553).
  • Xinxin Yao is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Lola GizaXinxin Yao
Win %30%70%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.21.4-0.7
Games (G-P)9.4-10.910.9-8.7
Aces1.41.2
Double faults3.41.2
1st serve %54.1%62.4%
Break %50%61.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lola Giza

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Maria Martinez Vaquero
W50 Horb
2-0 12-6 W
15/07 Arina Bulatova
W50 Darmstadt
0-2 5-11 L
14/07 Tilwith Di Girolami
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 13-10 W
13/07 Laima Vladson
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 13-10 W
29/06 Andreea Prisacariu
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
1-2 13-12 L
24/06 Eva Marie Voracek
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
14/10 Victoria Pohle
ITF W15 Essen
0-1 6-7 L
29/09 Amy Sucha
ITF W75 Bratislava · Hard
0-1 6-12 L
05/08 Susan Bandecchi
ITF W50 Leipzig
0-2 6-12 L
30/07 Renata Jamrichova
ITF W75 Hechingen · Clay
1-2 16-17 L

Xinxin Yao

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Sophie Triquart
W50 Horb
2-0 12-4 W
17/07 Francesca Curmi
W50 Darmstadt
0-2 7-13 L
16/07 Diana Martynov
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Isabel Skoog
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 13-7 W
07/07 Darya Astakhova
W100 Aschaffenburg
0-2 9-13 L
10/06 Mai Hontama
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
07/06 Yufei Ren
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
06/06 Reina Goto
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
05/06 JiaYi Wang
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
04/06 Yexin Ma
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lola Giza vs Xinxin Yao?

Our model gives 71% to Xinxin Yao, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.