Tennis · W50 Horb · 22/07, 12:00

Prediction: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Loes Ebeling Koning

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Lucie Nguyen Tan Loes Ebeling Koning
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lucie Nguyen Tan 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLWWLWL
Loes Ebeling Koning 7-3 (W-L)
WWLLWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lucie Nguyen Tan 1541 · Loes Ebeling Koning 1547
Lucie Nguyen TanLoes Ebeling Koning
Our model49%51%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Lucie Nguyen TanLoes Ebeling Koning
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 60% (10) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.91.6-0.8
Games (G-P)10.1-8.913.4-9.4
Aces1.52.4
Double faults1.82.1
1st serve %56.9%67%
Break %52.6%55.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lucie Nguyen Tan

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Alicia Herrero Linana
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
05/07 Yana Morderger
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
03/07 Yasmine Kabbaj
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
02/07 Ekaterina Kazionova
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
30/06 Zoe Ulrich
W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
19/06 Alevtina Ibragimova
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
18/06 Despina Papamichail
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-0 14-11 W
17/06 Alina Granwehr
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
16/06 Anouck Vrancken Peeters
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-1 16-15 W
27/05 Joanna Garland
W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Loes Ebeling Koning

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Karla Bartel
W50 Horb
2-0 13-6 W
20/07 Anna Burchak
W50 Horb
2-0 12-4 W
09/07 Gina Feistel
W75 The Hague
1-2 15-17 L
08/07 Britt Du Pree
W75 The Hague
2-1 18-13 W
06/07 Sarah Iliev
W75 The Hague
2-1 18-17 W
05/07 Polina Kuharenko
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-3 W
17/06 Gergana Topalova
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
1-2 18-17 L
20/05 Jasmijn Gimbrere
W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
19/05 Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
18/05 Fabienne Gettwart
W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Loes Ebeling Koning?

Our model gives 54% to Lucie Nguyen Tan, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.