Tennis · W50 Horb · 22/07, 12:30

Prediction: Victoria Pohle vs Margaux Maquet

Prediction summary
Winner
31% 69%
Victoria Pohle Margaux Maquet
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Victoria Pohle 3-7 (W-L)
LLWWWLLLLL
Margaux Maquet 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Victoria Pohle 1477 · Margaux Maquet 1559
Victoria PohleMargaux Maquet
Our model38%62%
Market25%75%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Margaux Maquet (rating 1477 vs 1559).
  • Margaux Maquet is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Victoria PohleMargaux Maquet
Win %40%80%
Win % · Clay 43% (7) 75% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.31.7-0.5
Games (G-P)8-1012.3-7
Aces23.3
Double faults2.13.2
1st serve %61.7%70.6%
Break %50.2%63.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Victoria Pohle

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Laura Boehner
W50 Darmstadt
0-2 6-12 L
07/07 Martina Trevisan
W100 Aschaffenburg
0-2 2-12 L
06/07 Julia Stusek
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-1 16-10 W
01/07 Mona Barthel
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
27/06 Josy Daems
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
26/06 Kailey Evans
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
25/06 Ekaterina Kazionova
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
23/06 Laura Boehner
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
10/06 Valentina Steiner
W15 Merzig · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
03/06 Elena Milovanovic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Margaux Maquet

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Zuzana Kudlackova
W50 Horb
2-0 12-2 W
20/07 Darya Velikova
W50 Horb
2-0 12-2 W
28/06 Isis Louise Van den Broek
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L
28/06 Charlotte Narti
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
26/06 Amelie Van Impe
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
25/06 Fabienne Gettwart
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-1 19-17 W
24/06 Lucia Ros Parres
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
20/06 Antonia Stoyanov
W15 Dinard · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
19/06 Carla Grignac
W15 Dinard · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
18/06 Lena Thomas Iglesias
W15 Dinard · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Victoria Pohle vs Margaux Maquet?

Our model gives 69% to Margaux Maquet, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.