Tennis · W50 Horb · 22/07, 10:30

Prediction: Neus Torner Sensano vs Maria Toma

Prediction summary
Winner
73% 27%
Neus Torner Sensano Maria Toma
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Neus Torner Sensano 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLWWWLL
Maria Toma 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLWWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Neus Torner Sensano 1568 · Maria Toma 1457
Neus Torner SensanoMaria Toma
Our model65%35%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Neus Torner Sensano (rating 1568 vs 1457).
  • Neus Torner Sensano is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Neus Torner Sensano makes many double faults (6/match).
  • Note: Maria Toma makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Neus Torner SensanoMaria Toma
Win %70%40%
Win % · Clay 71% (7) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.90.8-1.3
Games (G-P)12.1-10.38.4-11.1
Aces0.80.9
Double faults64
1st serve %62.7%55.1%
Break %48.1%33.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Neus Torner Sensano

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Lisa Claeys
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L
04/07 Amelie Van Impe
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 19-17 W
03/07 Ruth Roura Llaverias
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
02/07 Eva Alvarez Sande
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
01/07 Claudia Ferrer Perez
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
12/06 Carmen Gallardo Guevara
W15 Madrid
0-2 0-11 L
11/06 Juliana Giaccio
W15 Madrid
2-0 12-3 W
10/06 Yleymi Lugiana Muelle Valdez
W15 Madrid
2-1 17-12 W
07/06 Carmen Gallardo Guevara
W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay
1-2 11-14 L
06/06 Maria Garcia Cid
W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay
2-1 14-17 W

Maria Toma

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Petra Sedlackova
W50 Horb
1-1 9-8 W
20/07 Veena Mariam Nazar
W50 Horb
2-0 12-5 W
29/06 Michaela Bayerlova
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
25/06 Lucija Ciric Bagaric
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
23/06 Diletta Cherubini
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
2-0 14-12 W
22/06 Khrystyna Vozniak
W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay
1-0 12-8 W
16/06 Irina Balus
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
10/06 Alessandra Mazzola
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
1-2 8-13 L
04/06 Karla Bartel
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
06/05 Sabine Rutlauka
W35 Nottingham
1-2 12-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Neus Torner Sensano vs Maria Toma?

Our model gives 73% to Neus Torner Sensano, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.