Tennis · M25 Ollersbach · 22/07, 11:30
Prediction: Yuichiro Inui vs Jan Kumstat
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuichiro Inui
Jan Kumstat
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Yuichiro Inui
4-6 (W-L)
Jan Kumstat
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuichiro Inui 1486 · Jan Kumstat 1543
| Yuichiro Inui | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jan Kumstat (rating 1486 vs 1543).
- Jan Kumstat dominates on serve: 8.6 aces and 48.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Yuichiro Inui | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-10.4 | 11.2-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 8.6 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 75.7% |
| Break % | 30% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuichiro Inui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Elias Sumann M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Jelle Sels M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | David Tixhon M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Tristan Schrier M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Max Wiskandt M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Louis Herman M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Claus Piening M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Yan Cheng Chen M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Fanming Meng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Shixun Zhu M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Jan Kumstat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Thijs Boogaard Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Mateus Alves Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Duje Markovina M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Corentin Denolly M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuichiro Inui vs Jan Kumstat?
Our model gives 76% to Jan Kumstat, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.