Tennis · M25 Ollersbach · 22/07, 17:00

Prediction: Patrick Jozwicki vs Marat Sharipov

Prediction summary
Winner
24% 76%
Patrick Jozwicki Marat Sharipov
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Patrick Jozwicki 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLLLWLW
Marat Sharipov 7-3 (W-L)
LWLWWWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Patrick Jozwicki 1466 · Marat Sharipov 1502
Patrick JozwickiMarat Sharipov
Our model45%55%
Market7%93%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Patrick JozwickiMarat Sharipov
Win %30%50%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.41.3-1.1
Games (G-P)8.4-10.212.2-10.8
Aces0.55.7
Double faults32.7
1st serve %57.5%72.4%
Break %46.7%42.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Patrick Jozwicki

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Jiri Cizek
M25 Ollersbach
2-0 13-7 W
03/06 Ali Yazdani
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
02/06 Sergio Planella Hernandez
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
06/05 Rocco Piatti
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
04/05 Giovanni Ciocca
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
27/04 Stefan Cooper
M15 Mbombela · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
21/04 Melih Anavatan
M15 Pretoria · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
27/03 Luca Staeheli
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
14/10 Aditya Balsekar
ITF M25 Kigali · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
13/10 Rishabdev Raman
ITF M25 Kigali · Clay
2-0 12-1 W

Marat Sharipov

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/07 Marvin Moeller
Challenger Troyes · Clay
1-2 14-16 L
29/06 Cosme Rolland De Ravel
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
13/06 Andrey Chepelev
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
1-2 16-14 L
13/06 Kirill Kivattsev
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W
12/06 Drazen Petrovic
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
10/06 Mirza Basic
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
27/05 Simeon Stankovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 11-11 L
18/05 Daniel Michalski
Challenger Istanbul · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
03/05 Shinji Hazawa
Challenger Wuxi · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
30/04 Mark Lajal
Challenger Jiujiang · Clay
0-2 8-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Patrick Jozwicki vs Marat Sharipov?

Our model gives 76% to Marat Sharipov, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.