Tennis · M25 Ollersbach · 22/07, 10:00
Prediction: Fares Zakaria vs David Bakonyi
Prediction summary
Winner
Fares Zakaria
David Bakonyi
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Fares Zakaria
2-8 (W-L)
David Bakonyi
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fares Zakaria 1445 · David Bakonyi 1403
| Fares Zakaria | David Bakonyi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fares Zakaria (rating 1445 vs 1403).
- Note: Fares Zakaria makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: David Bakonyi makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Fares Zakaria | David Bakonyi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 0% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.5-11.3 | 9.7-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 17% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fares Zakaria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Flynn Thomas M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Lenn Luemkemann M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 21/06 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/06 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/05 | David Eichenseher M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Karim Ibrahim M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/05 | Francisco Faria M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/04 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 23/04 | Christoph Gayk M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
David Bakonyi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Vyacheslav Ovchinnikov M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Kolos Kincses M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Lorenzo Angelini M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Milan Ristov UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Obrad Markovski UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Andreas Loizas UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Botond Kisantal UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Stefan Skobelev UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/10 | Timofei Derepasko ITF M15 Szabolcsveresmart · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Xavier Jakubovic ITF M15 Szabolcsveresmart · Hard |
2-1 | 17-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fares Zakaria vs David Bakonyi?
Our model gives 69% to Fares Zakaria, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.