Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 23/07, 11:00
Prediction: Alina Charaeva vs Sinja Kraus
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Charaeva
Sinja Kraus
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Charaeva
5-5 (W-L)
Sinja Kraus
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Charaeva 1554 · Sinja Kraus 1611
| Alina Charaeva | Sinja Kraus | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sinja Kraus (rating 1554 vs 1611).
- Note: Alina Charaeva makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Alina Charaeva | Sinja Kraus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-9.5 | 11.5-7.8 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Charaeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Polina Kudermetova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Caroline Werner Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Elizabeth Mandlik Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Ayla Aksu WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/06 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Anastasia Kulikova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Manon Leonard WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Sinja Kraus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Julia Grabher WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Erika Andreeva WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/07 | Eva Bennemann WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/07 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Claire Liu WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Oksana Selekhmeteva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Charaeva vs Sinja Kraus?
Our model gives 59% to Sinja Kraus, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.