Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 23/07, 11:00
Prediction: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Anhelina Kalinina
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Lourdes Carle
Anhelina Kalinina
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Lourdes Carle
5-5 (W-L)
Anhelina Kalinina
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Lourdes Carle 1556 · Anhelina Kalinina 1513
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Anhelina Kalinina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Lourdes Carle (rating 1556 vs 1513).
- Note: Maria Lourdes Carle makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Anhelina Kalinina makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Anhelina Kalinina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8.5 | 11.1-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Lourdes Carle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Jule Niemeier WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Jessica Pieri WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Emily Eigelsbach WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Barbora Palicova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Kathinka Von Deichmann WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Laura Pigossi WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Lisa Pigato W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Dalila Jakupovic W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Anhelina Kalinina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Kamilla Rakhimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 24/06 | McCartney Kessler WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Daria Snigur WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Diane Parry WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Lulu Sun WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Diane Parry French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Panna Udvardy WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/05 | Anna Bondar WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Lourdes Carle vs Anhelina Kalinina?
Our model gives 63% to Anhelina Kalinina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.