Tennis · W15 Gran Canaria · 22/07, 14:15
Prediction: Victoria Gomez O'Hayon vs Naomi McKenzie
Prediction summary
Winner
Victoria Gomez O'Hayon
Naomi McKenzie
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Victoria Gomez O'Hayon
6-4 (W-L)
Naomi McKenzie
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Victoria Gomez O'Hayon 1505 · Naomi McKenzie 1575
| Victoria Gomez O'Hayon | Naomi McKenzie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naomi McKenzie (rating 1505 vs 1575).
- Naomi McKenzie is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Victoria Gomez O'Hayon makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Victoria Gomez O'Hayon | Naomi McKenzie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-9.3 | 11.6-6.9 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 55.1% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 55.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Victoria Gomez O'Hayon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05 | Sabine Rutlauka W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 20/12 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/12 | Arina Arifullina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/12 | Maria Trujillo Garnica W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/11 | Mai Hontama ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 1-11 | L |
| 12/11 | Savannah Broadus ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 11/11 | Petja Drame ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/11 | Anastasia Radovanovic ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/10 | Piper Charney ITF W35 Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Victoria Allen ITF W35 Quebec City |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Naomi McKenzie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Adriana Calvo Lopez W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Vanja Gudelj W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Himari Sato ITF W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Elena Micic ITF W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Cara Korhonen ITF W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Belle Thompson UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Kaylah McPhee UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/08 | Kirra Bond-Scott UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/08 | Grace Cadwallader UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Victoria Gomez O'Hayon vs Naomi McKenzie?
Our model gives 67% to Naomi McKenzie, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.