Tennis · W15 Gran Canaria · 22/07, 11:15
Prediction: Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals vs Noemi Maines
Prediction summary
Winner
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
Noemi Maines
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
5-5 (W-L)
Noemi Maines
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals 1477 · Noemi Maines 1467
| Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals | Noemi Maines | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals makes many double faults (5.1/match).
- Note: Noemi Maines makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals | Noemi Maines | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-12.1 | 6.6-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.2% | 56% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02 | Midori Castillo Meza W15 Manacor |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 13/11 | Cristina Diaz Adrover ITF W15 Nules · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 11/11 | Ginebra Zoe Dominguez Riveros ITF W15 Nules · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/10 | Stefaniya Pushkar ITF W15 Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/10 | Neus Torner Sensano ITF W35 Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Aleksandra Pozarenko ITF W35 Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 30/09 | Noelia Bouzo Zanotti ITF W50 Baza |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Aran Teixido Garcia ITF W15 Ceuta · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Gabriela M Vancea ITF W15 Ceuta · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 17/09 | Stefaniya Pushkar ITF W15 Ceuta · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Noemi Maines
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Victoria Allen W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Ashleigh Harvey W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Noemi Basiletti W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Laetitia Pulchartova W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Lorena Solar Donoso W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Nina Vargova W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Aaddi Gupta W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/06 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Matilde Paoletti W15 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals vs Noemi Maines?
Our model gives 70% to Noemi Maines, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.