Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 22/07, 12:00
Prediction: Edoardo Zanada vs Nikita Belozertsev
Prediction summary
Winner
Edoardo Zanada
Nikita Belozertsev
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Edoardo Zanada
7-3 (W-L)
Nikita Belozertsev
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edoardo Zanada 1526 · Nikita Belozertsev 1527
| Edoardo Zanada | Nikita Belozertsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Nikita Belozertsev makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Edoardo Zanada | Nikita Belozertsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-9 | 10.4-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edoardo Zanada
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Antoni Fabre M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Marcel Volz M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Carlos Giraldi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 28/05 | Stefan Popovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Filippo Callerio M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Andreas Messis M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Nikola Djosic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/05 | Nikola Matovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 22/04 | Anton Matusevich M25 Angers · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 20/04 | Tymur Bieldiugin M25 Angers · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Nikita Belozertsev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Davide Tortora M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Alejandro Melero Kretzer M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Andrej Radojicic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Romain Faucon Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 21/06 | Anas Mazdrashki Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Alexander Bernard M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 12/06 | John Sperle M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Adam Jilly M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Edoardo Zanada vs Nikita Belozertsev?
Our model gives 62% to Nikita Belozertsev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.