Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 23/07, 16:30
Prediction: Reese Frank vs Ariana Gilbert
Prediction summary
Winner
Reese Frank
Ariana Gilbert
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Reese Frank
7-3 (W-L)
Ariana Gilbert
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Reese Frank
1–0
Ariana Gilbert
(1 last)
- 21 Aug2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Reese Frank 1571 · Ariana Gilbert 1448
| Reese Frank | Ariana Gilbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reese Frank (rating 1571 vs 1448).
- Reese Frank is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Reese Frank 1–0 Ariana Gilbert (1).
- Note: Reese Frank makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Reese Frank | Ariana Gilbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.8 | 9.3-12.3 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 53.6% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Reese Frank 1 – 0 Ariana Gilbert (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Reese Frank 1–0 Ariana Gilbert
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/25 UTR Pro Athens Women | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reese Frank
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 21/07 | Aryana Bartlett UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Sydney Jara UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Jane Dunyon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Addison Iacono UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Natalie Oliver UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Juliana Singeorzan UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Alyssa Novoa UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Addison Iacono UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Ariana Gilbert
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Aryana Bartlett UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Nadia Elle Valdez W35 Rome |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Serafima Elizarova UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Violeta Martinez UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 14/06 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/06 | Taylor Goetz UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/05 | Addison Bowman UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reese Frank vs Ariana Gilbert?
Our model gives 67% to Reese Frank, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.