Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 22/07, 03:30
Prediction: Rianna Alame vs Mutsumi Uemura
Prediction summary
Winner
Rianna Alame
Mutsumi Uemura
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Rianna Alame
6-4 (W-L)
Mutsumi Uemura
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rianna Alame 1550 · Mutsumi Uemura 1498
| Rianna Alame | Mutsumi Uemura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rianna Alame (rating 1550 vs 1498).
Statistics
| Rianna Alame | Mutsumi Uemura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-6.2 | 10-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 60.7% | 74.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rianna Alame
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Lucia Gale W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/06 | Destanee Aiava UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Isabella Crossman UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Ava-Monet Sycamore UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/06 | Nikita Desai UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Escher Case-Boag UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/06 | Ayeesha Dowerah UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/03 | Belle Thompson W15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 25/03 | Christina Dodaj W15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 19/03 | Ashleigh Simes W15 Wodonga · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Mutsumi Uemura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Belle Thompson W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 14/07 | I Wen Wan W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Rira Kosaka W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Sae Noguchi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Yuhan Liu W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Stefani Webb W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Tsuki Shibutani W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Eri Shimizu W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/06 | Yingqun Sun W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rianna Alame vs Mutsumi Uemura?
Our model gives 58% to Mutsumi Uemura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.