Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 29/07, 05:00
Prediction: Mutsumi Uemura vs Ava Beck
Team pages: Mutsumi Uemura
Prediction summary
Winner
Mutsumi Uemura
Ava Beck
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mutsumi Uemura
6-4 (W-L)
Ava Beck
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mutsumi Uemura 1512 · Ava Beck 1590
| Mutsumi Uemura | Ava Beck | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ava Beck (rating 1512 vs 1590).
- Ava Beck is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Ava Beck makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Mutsumi Uemura | Ava Beck | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.5 | 11.6-8.5 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 53.5% |
| Break % | 60.5% | 35% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mutsumi Uemura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Rianna Alame W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Belle Thompson W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 14/07 | I Wen Wan W15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Rira Kosaka W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Sae Noguchi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Yuhan Liu W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Stefani Webb W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Tsuki Shibutani W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Eri Shimizu W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Ava Beck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Destanee Aiava W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Sarah Mildren W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 17/04 | Kaylah McPhee UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/04 | Belle Thompson UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 15/04 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/04 | Georgiana Ruhrig UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/04 | Mahta Khanloo UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/04 | Jasmine Adams UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 10/04 | Kaylah McPhee UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/04 | Ruby Ward UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mutsumi Uemura vs Ava Beck?
Our model gives 57% to Mutsumi Uemura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.