Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 28/07, 06:30

Prediction: Himari Sato vs Sarah Mildren

Team pages: Himari Sato

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Himari Sato Sarah Mildren
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Himari Sato 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLWLWWL
Sarah Mildren 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Himari Sato 1491 · Sarah Mildren 1487
Himari SatoSarah Mildren
Our model51%49%
Market39%61%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Himari SatoSarah Mildren
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 0% (2) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.20.9-1.3
Games (G-P)9.9-9.99.8-10.7
Aces0.21.8
Double faults3.83.5
1st serve %59.1%64.3%
Break %45.8%53.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Himari Sato

WWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Amy Stevens
W15 Brisbane
0-2 8-13 L
21/07 Sofia Thorne
W15 Brisbane
2-0 12-6 W
16/07 Natsuki Yoshimoto
W15 Brisbane
1-2 14-19 L
15/07 Nithesa Selvaraj
W15 Brisbane
2-1 13-11 W
14/07 Chloe Schwarz
W15 Brisbane
2-0 12-1 W
18/06 Gaeul Jang
W15 Sapporo
0-2 2-12 L
17/06 Jiho Shin
W15 Sapporo
2-0 12-7 W
16/06 Aoi Watanabe
W15 Sapporo
2-1 11-8 W
26/05 Kurumi Tamura
W15 Fukui · ~Hard
1-2 8-10 L
22/05 Sae Noguchi
W15 Toyama · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L

Sarah Mildren

LWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/07 Destanee Aiava
W15 Brisbane
0-2 7-12 L
23/07 Nanari Katsumi
W15 Brisbane
2-0 12-5 W
22/07 Lily Taylor
W15 Brisbane
2-0 13-7 W
21/07 Christina Dodaj
W15 Brisbane
2-0 12-6 W
14/07 Ava Beck
W15 Brisbane
1-2 12-16 L
09/02 Su Jeong Jang
W75 Brisbane
0-2 10-14 L
04/02 Kyoka Okamura
W75 Brisbane
0-2 4-12 L
10/01 Jaqueline Adina Cristian
WTA Adelaide · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
15/08 Amy Stevens
ITF W15 Tweed Heads
0-2 6-12 L
14/08 Alicia Smith
ITF W15 Tweed Heads
2-1 14-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Himari Sato vs Sarah Mildren?

Our model gives 56% to Sarah Mildren, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.