Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 22/07, 03:30
Prediction: Caitlin Baker vs Ava-Monet Sycamore
Prediction summary
Winner
Caitlin Baker
Ava-Monet Sycamore
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Caitlin Baker
5-5 (W-L)
Ava-Monet Sycamore
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caitlin Baker 1519 · Ava-Monet Sycamore 1498
| Caitlin Baker | Ava-Monet Sycamore | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Caitlin Baker makes many double faults (5.6/match).
- Note: Ava-Monet Sycamore makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Caitlin Baker | Ava-Monet Sycamore | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.1 | 9.6-11.9 |
| Aces | 0 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 49.7% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 38% | 31% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caitlin Baker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Madison Schwarz W15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 7-8 | W |
| 07/06 | Kaylah McPhee UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Amelia Zylberman UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 05/06 | Ariel Gunawan UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 04/06 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 01/06 | Sara Mickoska UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Arabelle Mancini UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/05 | Belle Thompson UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Marfa Solovei UTR Pro Melbourne Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Ava-Monet Sycamore
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Angel Warang W15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Christina Dodaj UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Rianna Alame UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Escher Case-Boag UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Ayeesha Dowerah UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Nikita Desai UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 11/12 | Stefani Webb ITF W15 Hamilton · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/12 | Riko Kikawada ITF W15 Hamilton · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 24/11 | Arina Bulatova ITF W75 Playford · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 23/11 | Taylah Lessue ITF W75 Playford · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caitlin Baker vs Ava-Monet Sycamore?
Our model gives 57% to Caitlin Baker, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.