Tennis · W100 Evansville · 21/07, 17:00
Prediction: Anna Rogers vs Jenna Defalco
Prediction summary
Winner
Anna Rogers
Jenna Defalco
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Anna Rogers
4-6 (W-L)
Jenna Defalco
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anna Rogers 1458 · Jenna Defalco 1468
| Anna Rogers | Jenna Defalco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jenna Defalco makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Anna Rogers | Jenna Defalco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 0.7-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11.6 | 8.5-10 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 56.3% | 51.7% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anna Rogers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Sahaja Yamalapalli WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Sofia Johnson W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Maria Sholokhova W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/06 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Bella Payne W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/05 | Savannah Broadus W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Ligaya Murray W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/05 | Elvina Kalieva W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Haley Giavara W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
Jenna Defalco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Mireya David W100 Evansville |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 29/04 | Dayeon Back W35 Goyang · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Jia-Jing Lu W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 22/04 | Shiho Tsujioka W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/04 | Hayu Kinoshita W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/04 | Honoka Kobayashi W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/04 | Hikaru Sato W35 Osaka |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/03 | Belle Thompson W35 Launceston |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/02 | Mio Mushika W35 Burnie |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 11/02 | Hayu Kinoshita W75 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anna Rogers vs Jenna Defalco?
Our model gives 57% to Anna Rogers, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.