Tennis · W100 Evansville · 21/07, 18:30
Prediction: Sakura Hosogi vs Ena Koike
Prediction summary
Winner
Sakura Hosogi
Ena Koike
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sakura Hosogi
7-3 (W-L)
Ena Koike
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sakura Hosogi
3–1
Ena Koike
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sakura Hosogi 1578 · Ena Koike 1562
| Sakura Hosogi | Ena Koike | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Sakura Hosogi 3–1 Ena Koike (4).
- Note: Ena Koike makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Sakura Hosogi | Ena Koike | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.7 | 12-8.2 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Sakura Hosogi 3 – 1 Ena Koike (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sakura Hosogi 3–1 Ena Koike
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/26 W75 Granby | 2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/03/26 W75 Kofu | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 07/05/25 W35 Goyang | 2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/04/25 W100 Gifu | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sakura Hosogi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Sara Saito W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Ena Koike W75 Granby |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Alexandra Vagramov W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Hayu Kinoshita W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Julieta Pareja W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 11/07 | Sara Daavettila W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Ana Grubor W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Thara Gowda W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Capucine Jauffret W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Ena Koike
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Kaede Usui W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Granby |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Miho Kuramochi W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Isabella Marton W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Savannah Broadus W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Tatum Evans W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Mei Yamaguchi W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Ayana Akli W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Victoria Mulville W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Sara Shumate W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sakura Hosogi vs Ena Koike?
Our model gives 54% to Ena Koike, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.