Tennis · W100 Evansville · 21/07, 18:30
Prediction: Mei Yamaguchi vs Reina Goto
Prediction summary
Winner
Mei Yamaguchi
Reina Goto
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mei Yamaguchi
3-7 (W-L)
Reina Goto
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mei Yamaguchi 1485 · Reina Goto 1506
| Mei Yamaguchi | Reina Goto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mei Yamaguchi | Reina Goto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.1 | 10.6-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.6% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 50.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mei Yamaguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Rebecca Marino W75 Granby |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Greet Minnen WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Ena Koike W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Zongyu Li W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Junhan Zhang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Eunhye Lee W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Yidi Yang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Erika Sema W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/05 | Momoko Kobori W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Reina Goto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Victoria Osuigwe W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 25/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Anri Nagata W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Misaki Matsuda W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Zongyu Li W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Hanna Chang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/06 | Ayano Shimizu W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/06 | Qiu Yu Ye W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 06/06 | Xinxin Yao W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 05/06 | Yujia Huang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mei Yamaguchi vs Reina Goto?
Our model gives 58% to Mei Yamaguchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.