Tennis · W15 Gran Canaria · 21/07, 10:00
Prediction: Anais Gabriel vs Sonia Cassani
See it on the live radar ↗
Prediction summary
Winner
Anais Gabriel
Sonia Cassani
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Anais Gabriel
7-3 (W-L)
Sonia Cassani
0-10 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anais Gabriel 1529 · Sonia Cassani 1402
| Anais Gabriel | Sonia Cassani | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anais Gabriel (rating 1529 vs 1402).
- Anais Gabriel is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Anais Gabriel makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Sonia Cassani makes many double faults (7.3/match).
Statistics
| Anais Gabriel | Sonia Cassani | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 0.3-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-7.3 | 7.4-12.4 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 7.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 55.2% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anais Gabriel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Mara Guth W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Ayline Esina Samardzic W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/06 | Tamara Bachmann W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Verena Meliss W15 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Mariia Drobysheva W15 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/05 | Jenny Duerst W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Mila Bastianelli W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/05 | Alina Kornieieva W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/04 | Sara Shumate W15 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
1-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 16/03 | Anna Brunet-Brady W15 Le Havre · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
Sonia Cassani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06 | Valentina Vargas W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Berta Bonardi W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Sophie Martin W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Maria F Navarro Oliva W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 03/02 | Alba Salles Canudas UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 18/11 | Isabel Pascual Montalvo W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/11 | Kate Mansfield W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/11 | Helena Bueno W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Aaddi Gupta ITF W35 Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Yara Bartashevich ITF W35 Bydgoszcz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anais Gabriel vs Sonia Cassani?
Our model gives 77% to Anais Gabriel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.