Tennis · W100 Evansville · 22/07, 17:00
Prediction: Sara Saito vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Saito
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Saito
5-5 (W-L)
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sara Saito
1–0
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Saito 1530 · Mananchaya Sawangkaew 1586
| Sara Saito | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mananchaya Sawangkaew (rating 1530 vs 1586).
- Head-to-head: Sara Saito 1–0 Mananchaya Sawangkaew (1).
- Note: Sara Saito makes many double faults (7.4/match).
- Note: Mananchaya Sawangkaew makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Sara Saito | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.4 | 12.5-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 7.4 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 56.4% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Sara Saito 1 – 0 Mananchaya Sawangkaew (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sara Saito 1–0 Mananchaya Sawangkaew
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/24 ITF W100 Landisville | 2-1 | 18-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Saito
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Kayla Cross W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Cadence Brace W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Kayo Nishimura W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Yuki Naito W75 Granby |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Erika Sema W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 13/06 | Yujia Huang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Varvara Panshina W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/06 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Mary Stoiana WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Lea Ma WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Caroline Dolehide WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Alycia Parks Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Maja Chwalinska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Oceane Dodin Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Mary Stoiana Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Anouk Koevermans Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Saito vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew?
Our model gives 69% to Mananchaya Sawangkaew, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.