Tennis · W100 Evansville · 22/07, 17:00
Prediction: Fiona Crawley vs Himeno Sakatsume
Prediction summary
Winner
Fiona Crawley
Himeno Sakatsume
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Fiona Crawley
6-4 (W-L)
Himeno Sakatsume
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Fiona Crawley
1–0
Himeno Sakatsume
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fiona Crawley 1525 · Himeno Sakatsume 1481
| Fiona Crawley | Himeno Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fiona Crawley (rating 1525 vs 1481).
- Himeno Sakatsume dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 59.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Fiona Crawley 1–0 Himeno Sakatsume (1).
Statistics
| Fiona Crawley | Himeno Sakatsume | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (3) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.4 | 10.1-11 |
| Aces | 1 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 59.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Fiona Crawley 1 – 0 Himeno Sakatsume (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fiona Crawley 1–0 Himeno Sakatsume
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/26 Wimbledon Women | 2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fiona Crawley
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Alina Korneeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Julia Riera Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Himeno Sakatsume Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 16/04 | Daria Egorova W35 Zephyrhills · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/04 | Victoria Hu W35 Zephyrhills · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/02 | Martyna Kubka W75 Porto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/02 | Angela Fita Boluda W75 Porto |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/02 | Deborah Chiesa W75 Porto |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/02 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 16/02 | Madalena Matias WTA Oeiras · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Himeno Sakatsume
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Elena Pridankina French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Kathinka Von Deichmann French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/05 | Manon Leonard French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/05 | Shuai Zhang WTA Paris · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fiona Crawley vs Himeno Sakatsume?
Our model gives 50% to Fiona Crawley, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.