Tennis · W100 Evansville · 22/07, 17:00
Prediction: Renata Zarazua vs Cadence Brace
Prediction summary
Winner
Renata Zarazua
Cadence Brace
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Renata Zarazua
2-8 (W-L)
Cadence Brace
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Renata Zarazua
1–0
Cadence Brace
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Renata Zarazua 1459 · Cadence Brace 1503
| Renata Zarazua | Cadence Brace | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cadence Brace (rating 1459 vs 1503).
- Head-to-head: Renata Zarazua 1–0 Cadence Brace (1).
Statistics
| Renata Zarazua | Cadence Brace | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 38% (8) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.5 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.2-11.5 | 10.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 56.8% | 55.3% |
| Break % | 36.5% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Renata Zarazua 1 – 0 Cadence Brace (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Renata Zarazua 1–0 Cadence Brace
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/24 ITF W75 Templeton | 2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Renata Zarazua
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Alexandra Eala Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Xinyu Wang WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Sinja Kraus WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Mariella Thamm WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Diana Shnaider French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/05 | McCartney Kessler WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Cadence Brace
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Sara Saito W75 Granby |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Erika Sema W75 Granby |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Mio Mushika W75 Granby |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Katherine Sebov WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Mia Slama W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Raphaelle Lacasse W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Kayla Day Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 05/06 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Martina Okalova W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Renata Zarazua vs Cadence Brace?
Our model gives 57% to Renata Zarazua, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.