Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 21/07, 17:30
Prediction: Stefan Kozlov vs Alan Magadan
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefan Kozlov
Alan Magadan
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Kozlov
5-5 (W-L)
Alan Magadan
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stefan Kozlov
1–1
Alan Magadan
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Kozlov 1504 · Alan Magadan 1556
| Stefan Kozlov | Alan Magadan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alan Magadan (rating 1504 vs 1556).
Statistics
| Stefan Kozlov | Alan Magadan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.7 | 13.2-11.7 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 74.8% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Stefan Kozlov 1 – 1 Alan Magadan (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefan Kozlov 1–1 Alan Magadan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/26 Challenger San Luis Potosi | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/03/26 Challenger Morelos | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Kozlov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Leo Vithoontien Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Yibing Wu Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 12/05 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Mario Mansilla Diez Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/04 | Nick Hardt Challenger Savannah · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
Alan Magadan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 19/07 | Owen Demuth Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/07 | Benjamin Thomas George Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Naoya Honda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 12/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Kozlov vs Alan Magadan?
Our model gives 56% to Stefan Kozlov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.