Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 21/07, 16:00
Prediction: Roger Pascual Ferra vs Masamichi Imamura
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Prediction summary
Winner
Roger Pascual Ferra
Masamichi Imamura
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Roger Pascual Ferra
8-2 (W-L)
Masamichi Imamura
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roger Pascual Ferra 1623 · Masamichi Imamura 1560
| Roger Pascual Ferra | Masamichi Imamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roger Pascual Ferra (rating 1623 vs 1560).
- Roger Pascual Ferra is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Roger Pascual Ferra | Masamichi Imamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-6.8 | 11.1-10 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 3 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 36.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roger Pascual Ferra
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Mathys Picard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 27/06 | Charles Bertimon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Logan Zapp M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Rocco Piatti M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Jackson Ross M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Masamichi Imamura
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Darian King Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/07 | James Tracy Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/07 | James McCabe Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Hunter Heck M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Jangjun Kim M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roger Pascual Ferra vs Masamichi Imamura?
Our model gives 57% to Roger Pascual Ferra, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.