Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 21/07, 14:00
Prediction: John Hallquist Lithen vs Yannik Kelm
Prediction summary
Winner
John Hallquist Lithen
Yannik Kelm
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
John Hallquist Lithen
6-4 (W-L)
Yannik Kelm
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
John Hallquist Lithen
0–1
Yannik Kelm
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · John Hallquist Lithen 1515 · Yannik Kelm 1594
| John Hallquist Lithen | Yannik Kelm | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yannik Kelm (rating 1515 vs 1594).
- Yannik Kelm is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: John Hallquist Lithen 0–1 Yannik Kelm (1).
- Note: Yannik Kelm makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| John Hallquist Lithen | Yannik Kelm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-8.9 | 12.7-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 44.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · John Hallquist Lithen 0 – 1 Yannik Kelm (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · John Hallquist Lithen 0–1 Yannik Kelm
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/25 ITF M15 Bastad | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
John Hallquist Lithen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Michael Gloeckler M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Niklas Waldner M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Khumoyun Sultanov M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Piet Luis Pinter M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Aristotelis Thanos M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Karl Friberg M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/05 | Eric Vanshelboim M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Drazen Petrovic M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Yannik Kelm
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Stijn Paardekooper M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Daniel Verbeek M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Dax Donders M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Jannik Opitz M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Mika Petkovic M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Emilien Demanet M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Niklas Schell M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Lenn Luemkemann M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in John Hallquist Lithen vs Yannik Kelm?
Our model gives 68% to Yannik Kelm, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.