Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 21/07, 15:30
Prediction: Johan Nikles vs Dimitris Sakellaridis
Prediction summary
Winner
Johan Nikles
Dimitris Sakellaridis
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Johan Nikles
4-6 (W-L)
Dimitris Sakellaridis
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Johan Nikles 1534 · Dimitris Sakellaridis 1590
| Johan Nikles | Dimitris Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dimitris Sakellaridis (rating 1534 vs 1590).
- Dimitris Sakellaridis is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Johan Nikles | Dimitris Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10 | 12.8-7.9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 48% | 50.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johan Nikles
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/07 | Walid Ahouda M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 26/06 | Karim Bennani M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Matthieu Chambonniere M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Edouard Villoslada M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Jules Fabre Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/05 | Oriol Roca Batalla M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Dimitris Sakellaridis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Radovan Michalik M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Matic Kriznik M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Michael Savano M15 Store |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Bozo Barun M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Saba Purtseladze M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johan Nikles vs Dimitris Sakellaridis?
Our model gives 51% to Johan Nikles, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.